Sanjoy and Adam are back discussing the currency and the latest news from the pine nut, cashew and pecan markets

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Two market reports in one! Pumpkin seeds and Pine nuts.

Alex, ishan and Sanjoy discuss the recent volatility in pinenuts and pumpkin and what their longer terms expectations are

The pinenut market remains firm with historically high pricing. Demand is still to fully react to the price changes but origin are maintaining prices will remain stable if not firm till May. If demand fails to materialise prices may soften but the market remains uncertain.

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In this episode we discuss the latest in Greece and the Euro, and the latest in the markets.

You can see Ishan Das‘s pinenut report for further information.

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We are hearing raw material prices are very high but demand in Europe is very low so the market could swing either way. With reference to the Sibirican grade, raw material is short and trading above equivalent kernel prices in Europe, so we expect the market to remain firm.

Speculators have entered the market and have sold small parts of their stock for good profit around a month ago so have the strength to hold the rest of their stock without financial pressure.

Origin is also stating that crop estimations for the 2015 crop appear to be low, so any carried forward stock will not be problem as inventory will be needed. Currently then, we have an unstable equilibrium, where supply and demand are at standoff, historical experience is that the speculators have got their way. The crop for this year is short and that is keeping their resolve.

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Post-Greek election madness and confusion? Alexis Tsipras, the newly elected leader, is travelling around state capitals in Europe in what seems to be an antagonistic way. What’s the future of Greece?

We also look at the latest in currency fluctuations and the markets. The Euro appears to be picking up a bit, but levels of high uncertainty remain.

Markets for our products generally are stable. With Chinese New Year looming by, we are asking our Chinese customers how their financial year turned out. It’s doesn’t look too good. You can check our the latest pinenut report here, showing prices have been firm since November, but have stabilised in recent weeks.

Disaster and mayhem in the Port of Oakland, California. The work slowdowns and refusing to dispatch qualified workers such as crane operators has caused chaos. The consequences of this congestion will drive the spot market for almonds up. This in turn can cause shipment price in California to rise. Read the full report here.

Finally…what is the trophy the Chairman is holding? Find out this and more of the above in our latest episode of Freeworld Trading Round-Up.

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Speculators are holding on to unexpectedly large stocks, with many believing they have bought 4 times the amount that they normally would. Chinese New Year sales have been disappointing, however origin is still predicting that crop estimations for the 2015 crop will be very low, so any carried forward stock will not be problem as inventory will be required.

We think the price will remain at this level for the next month. Subsequent to this, we will see a reaction depending on how strong summer demand is across Europe . Summer is traditionally the highest consumption period for pinenuts.

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Sanjoy and Ishan discuss the current state of the pinenut market and the effects of Speculation.

Speculators have entered the market in a manner that hasn’t been seen for some years. Whilst crop sizes are certainly large, the market has been firm in response to the increased speculation at origin. Confidence remains high that the prices will remain firm.

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Sanjoy and Ishan discuss the current state of the pinenut market and speculate on the 2014 crop.

Although 2014 crop is of good size, there are still large uncertainties that could see the price strengthen going into the New Year – most notably the final Russian crop size and the forecast for 2015 crop.

**Disclaimer – You might have noticed the title of the video is ‘Pecan Nuts’…well this is not the case. This is everything to do with Pinenuts. Ignore that bit. We apologise. But we are sure you will live…**

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